AF8 Newsletter – July 2017

South Island Workshops Ripple North

Year-1 of Project AF8 culminated in June in a highly interactive, multi-agency planning workshop in Wellington, in conjunction with the Wellington Earthquake National Initial Response Plan (WENIRP) project. The workshop brought together about 120 national-level representatives of central government agencies, infrastructure providers, emergency services, NZ Defence Force, welfare services, physical and human scientists, and food retail interests, along with regional Civil Defence Emergency Management personal from the South Island.

The workshop helped to confirm findings from the six South Island workshops, where it was assumed that Wellington-based agencies would need to balance their own business continuity issues with the coordination of the national response focused on delivering support to those impacted by the earthquake.

Attendees focused on the communication that would be required between Wellington and all regions in the South Island to enable national-level coordination and effective prioritisation. Effective initiation of this coordination would allow local response organisations to focus on initial search, rescue, treatment, evacuation, and shelter.

Project AF8 Science Update: Foundation to Response Planning.

The Science team has been busy writing up the Alpine Fault hazard scenario for publication. This will bring together all the hazard information that was used at each of the workshops, along with all the science information on the Alpine Fault (how much shaking, rupture length, landslides, aftershocks, etc.) into one place for easy reference. This will be up on our Facebook page when it is completed, and published as a GNS Science Report. We are also writing a journal article on Project AF8 for a special issue on the Alpine Fault Tricentenary (did you know it has been exactly 300 years since the last big quake on the Alpine Fault in 1717AD).

We are working on signing a contract with GNS Science to help share and collaborate using RiskScape. This is a powerful piece of software used to estimate impacts and losses from natural hazards, including floods, earthquakes. One area we are particularly interested in is building damage, e.g. how will our buildings perform, and how widespread might the damage be? Using RiskScape we can combine our ground motion estimates (or the amount of shaking we will feel during an Alpine Fault earthquake) with building information (type of construction, location) to improve our understanding of building losses across the South Island.

A huge amount of exciting new Alpine Fault science is being developed within two major science programmes in New Zealand:  QuakeCoRE and Resilience to Nature’s Challenges. Tune in for a profile of these efforts in the next newsletter.


Project AF8 Resilience Videos Rolling

Project AF8’s initiative to develop a set of short, engaging videos to raise awareness about the Alpine Fault hazard and what can be done to reduce its consequences is underway. Project AF8 have engaged 5to9 Productions, based in Dunedin, to develop this set of online and classroom style videos.

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